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The Violent Face of Nature: Lightning
The weather satellite 22,300 miles out in space reveals a
beautiful but deceptive picture of earth. The view we see
is of a placid world floating peacefully in the blackness
of space, patterns of white clouds winding like ornaments
across the planet's disk.
But we know how misleading that serene scene can be. Within
those clouds, within the rest of the atmosphere so invisible,
and beneath the surface of what we think of as a solid planet,
lurk awesome energies that need only the proper conditions
to unleash their havoc.
At any given moment, 1,800 thunderstorms are in progress
over the earth's surface. Lightning is striking the earth
100 times each second. If the season is late summer, one or
more of the some 60 hurricanes or typhoons that swirl into
existence each year is likely to be moving toward a populated
coastline. If the time is late afternoon, the odds are good
that a tornado is raking across the center of the United States;
600 to 1,000 times a year they do so, and in the prime months
can strike with a frequency of four or more a day. Somewhere
at any given moment, people's homes or crops are under flood
waters. Half a billion people live on floodplains, and the
crops grown on floodplains supply food for a third of the
world's population.
There is no comfort beneath the reach of the turbulent
atmosphere either. More than 2,000 earth tremors strong enough
to be recorded course through the planet every day. Twice
a day somewhere in the world earthquakes strike with enough
force to damage homes and buildings. From 15 to 20 times a
year a quake strikes with enough energy to cause widespread
death and destruction. And all the while there are 516 active
volcanoes waiting to erupt. An eruption begins somewhere every
15 days.
There is no way to switch off the energy that continually
feeds such violence. Storms derive their energy from the life-giving
flow of heat from the sun. Earthquakes and volcanoes get their
energy from the heat of radioactive decay of the material
within the earth itself. This slow but unending release of
heat from the interior to the earth's surface amounts to 10
times all the energy used by man. Even then, it is equivalent
to only one five-thousandth the energy that the sun delivers
to our planet.
Clearly we are talking about forces of nature that dwarf
the puny efforts of humankind. A single thunderstorm three
miles in diameter may hold half a million tons of water and
contain energy equal to 10 atomic bombs. Larger ones carry
the potential energy of several one-megaton hydrogen bombs.
A single great earthquake of the size that occurs about four
times each year releases the energy of a 10-megaton hydrogen
bomb, or nearly twice the daily U.S. consumption of electrical
energy. A large volcanic eruption produces almost exactly
the same amount.
In one important sense there is no such thing as a natural
disaster. A disaster is a social phenomenon. Across our planet
for about four and a half billion years, the forces of nature
have shaped, molded, and changed the earth. Oceans have come
and gone, continents have assembled and split apart, mountains
have grown and eroded. These are awesome changes indeed. But
what we call a disaster requires the presence of humans, caught
up as victims in the violence of nature. A huge volcanic eruption
on an uninhabited ocean island may not be a disaster at all.
But even a small earthquake beneath a densely populated urban
area can be an unmitigated tragedy. Since populations nearly
everywhere are on the rise and people are occupying vulnerable
areas to a greater extent, the potential for most kinds of
disasters is on a steady increase.
Surprisingly, the worst and most consistent killer of all
natural phenomena over the long range in this country is not,
as we might think, tornadoes, hurricanes, floods, or earthquakes,
but lightning, which picks off its victims one by one, thus
avoiding the attention and national publicity accorded the
more mass-destructive hazards. And lightning can strike anywhere.
Lightning is not only a solo killer, it is a technological incapacitator. It is capable of knocking out computer systems
or electrical power systems our society has grown dependent
upon.
In the roughly seven seconds it takes you to read this
paragraph, lightning
will have struck the earth some 700 times.
This estimated 100-times-a-second rate of discharge worldwide
represents something like 4 billion kilowatts of continuous
power.
Some intense storms produce almost continuous lightning
and thunder for considerable periods. A storm over London
during the night of August 2, 1879, is said to have produced
continuous thunder for 20 minutes. And Frank W. Lane tells
of a storm in Hertfordshire, England, during the night of
June 12, 1964, in which thunder was timed that lasted continuously
for 28 minutes. During a great thunderstorm in England in
July, 1923,6,924 flashes were recorded over London alone,
including 47 in one minute. A great storm over Pretoria, South
Africa, on Christmas Day, 1923, produced 100 flashes a minute
for more than an hour.
Lightning can be a dangerous killer, and often is, far
more often than many people realize. When a tornado, flood,
or hurricane strikes, it gets enormous news attention because
a particularly bad storm can cause fatalities by the dozens
and injuries by the hundreds, and these understandably stick
in the public's mind, even though they are relatively infrequent.
Lightning, in contrast, picks off its victims by ones or twos,
and that doesn't make the national news.
Hurricanes kill an average of 54 persons a year, floods
90, and tornadoes 132, according to a 34-year compilation
of storm deaths in the United States. Over the same period,
lightning killed 6,928 persons, an average of 204 a year.
And it is generally concluded that the lightning-fatality
figures are conservative because the statistics-gatherers
may miss many deaths or there may have been a secondary cause
of death, such as a fire resulting from lightning. Lightning
is, without a doubt, a big killer, the greatest cause of death
among all types of storms.
Unique with the lightning hazard is the relatively high
probability of death if struck. Persons caught in hurricanes,
tornadoes, and earthquakes are very likely to survive. Put
with lightning, for every two persons injured, one is killed.
No other natural hazard has such a high death-to-injury ratio.
Most people realize that
lightning is a major cause of forest fires — at least 7,500 a year in the nation as a whole,
or an average of 20 a day. But lightning has also caused many
damaging industrial fires, such as the disastrous oil fire
at San Luis Obispo, California, on April 7,1926. The fire
lasted five days, spread over 900 acres, and burned nearly
6 million barrels of oil.
The most costly lightning strike in the United States
is considered to be the one that hit an ammunition magazine
at an army arsenal in northern New Jersey on July 10,1926.
It set off a series of explosions. All buildings within 2,700
feet were destroyed and 16 persons were killed. Debris fell
as far as 22 miles away. Property damage from this single
lightning bolt was placed at $70 million.
The susceptibility of today's interdependent technological
society to lightning was dramatically brought home to millions
of people on the night of July 13,1977. At 8:37 P.M. lightning
from one of a series of thunderstorms that had been sweeping
through New York State struck an electrical transmission tower
in Westchester County and short-circuited two 345,000-volt
lines. There quickly followed a series of equipment malfunctions
and at least one serious error by a system operator. When
a second lightning bolt knocked out two more lines of the
same voltage at 8:55 P.M., the electrical system serving New
York City cascaded toward collapse, and by 9:36 P.M., the
New York City metropolitan area was plunged into darkness.
Subways halted. Elevators stopped. Air conditioners went off.
Power was completely restored only after 24 hours.
An extraordinary case of a lightning bolt nearly incapacitating
one of the most complex technological systems ever built happened
November 14,1969, in Florida. This time the target was not
on the ground but in the air. It was a rocket, a Saturn 5,
and in a capsule at its top were nestled the three Apollo
12 astronauts, lifting off for the moon. Less than half a
minute after the 11:22 A.M. launch, with Apollo 12 barely
a mile and a half above the earth, a brilliant bolt of electricity
appeared between the rocket and the ground. Virtually all
the electrical equipment in the spacecraft suddenly shut down.
Row upon row of abruptly opened circuit breakers glowed ominously
green. The vital inertial platform, heart of the Apollo guidance
system, began drifting. "I don't know what happened here.
We had everything in the world drop out, " Apollo 12
Commander Charles Conrad radioed to the ground. Fortunately,
within three minutes the crew managed to get all circuits
back in operation, and they went on to a successful landing
on the moon. But the incident brought about a series of measures
to mitigate lightning hazards in space launches and stimulated
broad new programs of lightning research.
Lightning is such a powerful and transitory phenomenon
that it poses formidable obstacles to our attempts to better
understand it. With the spectacular violence it unleashes
from the heavens, no wonder the ancients viewed it in supernatural
terms, a manifestation of the gods. The divine origin of lightning
is a part of the mythologies of Indian, Greek, Roman, Egyptian,
Japanese, Chinese, and Tibetan cultures, and of many tribal
societies as well.
One of the long-recognized fundamental properties of a
thundercloud is that its uppermost part tends to be positively
charged, the lower part negatively charged. (There is also
often a small area of positive charge within the large area
of negative charge at the base of the cloud.) To this day,
scientists are arguing about what exactly accounts for this
distribution of charge within a storm. As a thunderstorm moves
over the landscape, its negatively charged base induces a
positive charge over the ground below and extending out for
several miles beyond the storm. This induced positive charge
follows the storm like an invisible electrical shadow. The
stronger the cloud's charge, the stronger the induced charge
below. The potential difference may reach as much as 100 million
volts. The positive ground current flows up high objects such
as trees, hills, and buildings in an effort to establish a
connection with the opposite charge in the cloud above. Air,
being a poor conductor, however, discourages the connection.
Until something else is done, no current can flow.
What is done is invisible to the eye. The charged cloud
finds a way to gradually lessen the electrical separation
between it and the oppositely charged ground. Early electrical
action prepares the atmosphere and forms, in effect, a bridge
for the main surge of current to suddenly rush across.
First a small amount of current advances downward toward
the ground. This pilot leader blazes the path for a larger
but as yet still invisible series of charges that proceed
downward in steps. One proceeds several hundred feet, pauses,
then another follows down the path and extends it a few more
hundred feet. Step after step the charges proceed downward.
This step leader, as known, repeats the sequence perhaps as
many as 60 times until a conductive path of ionized (electrified)
particles is near the ground. Discharge streamers on the ground,
usually from some high point, extend upward to complete the
conductive channel between the cloud and ground.
With the circuit completed, a tremendous surge of electricity,
called the return, or main stroke, leaps upward along the
channel at speeds of one-third to half the speed of light.
The enormous energy released causes the surrounding atoms
and molecules in the air to flow, and this light brilliantly
illuminates the previously formed, descending step leaders.
It is the illumination coming from this intense, upward return
stroke lighting up the downward-pointing zigzagged step leaders
that we see as lightning. Thus, although the main electrical
surge in a cloud-to-ground lightning flash is upward, our
eyes perceive it as downward because the step leaders are
pointing downward. The process is a curious trick on our senses,
a turning of our perceptions upside down. (The rarer ground-to-cloud-initiated
lightning produces step leaders pointing upward, branching
toward the sky like a tree.)
Once the return stroke has firmly established the electrical
path and itself dissipated, dart leaders may fork down out
of the cloud to initiate usually three or four secondary return
strokes (the most ever recorded is 26) along the same path.
These continue until the electrical difference between the
cloud and ground has diminished and brought the opposing sides
back into temporary balance.
The whole process from initiation of a pilot leader until fadeaway of the final secondary return strokes may last a
second. The visible discharge (the flash) itself, including
the return strokes, lasts about two-tenths of a second, and
the separate strokes within a discharge have faintly luminous
phases each lasting several thousandths of a second and separated
by intervals of a few hundredths of a second. The eye can
just perceive such individual strokes, and that is why lightning
appears to flicker.
The heat generated by a lightning stroke
can be as great as 30,000°C (50,000°F) or five times the temperature
of the surface of the sun. The sudden expansion of the surrounding
air because of this intense heat creates a sound wave which
we hear as thunder. A nearby strike of lightning produces
a sharp crack of thunder. More distant strikes produce the
distinctive low rumble of thunder. The lower pitch is due
to the attenuation of higher frequencies. The rumbling results
from the sound reaching you at slightly different times because
of both the differing distances from you to parts of the lightning
channel and the reflection of the sound waves off clouds,
hills, and buildings.
For all practical purposes, the lightning is seen at the
moment it occurs, but the sound travels just a little more
than 1,000 feet a second. So, if thunder is heard five seconds
after the lightning is seen, the lightning struck about one
mile away.
We all have been startled by a tremendous crack of thunder
from a nearby lightning strike, but there is no reason to
fear it. If you heard the thunder, the lightning has already
struck.
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